«2025 is a lost year for growth,» warns Franklin Templeton. The data is considered a 'brief relief' for the economy, however, it is also not enough of a boost for GDP, which still faces headwinds due to trade uncertainty with the United States and Mexico's own institutional framework, according to Saldaña. In line with other market projections, Ve por Más estimates that GDP will close this year at 0.5% while for 2026 they estimate growth of 1.5%, which is still below its historical average of 1.9%, according to Saldaña. The effect of the World Cup, which will begin in mid-June and last a month, will also have a temporary impact on inflation, in the services sector, explained Saldaña. Almost six months before the World Cup, whose opening will be in Mexico, analysts are sharpening their estimates of its impact on the economy for 2026. 'Generating 0.2 percent of GDP in a year doesn't sound like much, but doing it in four weeks is quite important, where one of the beneficiaries will be the services sector,' the analyst also explained. It is not a minor issue, as currently the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) is in a period of calibrating its monetary policy, bringing the interest rate to a neutral level, so the specialist estimates that the room for maneuver of monetary policy is increasingly limited. It is worth remembering that the services sector is part of the underlying inflation, the component that generates the most concern within the central bank and in the market, as in the last year it seems to be stuck around 4%, slightly above Banxico's target range. For now, it is a brief 'relief' that will bring a spill of around 68 billion pesos for the month that the football event, which will also be held in the United States and Canada, lasts. According to Alejandro Saldaña, an analyst at Grupo Financiero Ve por Más, the arrival of tourists and all the consumption dynamics generated by the World Cup will contribute to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) between 0.1 and 0.2%, although he acknowledged that the data will depend on the influx of foreign visitors. For now, the estimates made by analysts are that the football event will attract around 5.5 million visitors to the country. Saldaña explained that the calculation considers this data and the type of behavior that has been seen in previous events. Although he also specified: 'It will be a hump, but not something sustainable.'
