In Mexico, the indicator dropped from 86.9 daily victims in September 2024 to 51.4 in March 2026, a reduction of 41%. In the state's case, the decline breaks with a previous period of high incidence that lasted for at least four years, with minimal variations from one year to the next. The change began to reflect more clearly from 2025 onwards, when records started to decrease more consistently in monthly reports. On an annual level, preliminary data also points to a significant decrease. Between 2024 and 2025, Guanajuato reported a 46% reduction in intentional homicides, marking a turning point in the recent trend. Although the state remains among the entities with the highest number of cases, the sustained reduction in the daily average places the focus on the evolution in the coming months and whether the trend manages to hold. In the national context, the first quarter of 2026 closed as the period with the lowest daily average of homicides in over a decade, which reinforces the change in the overall crime trajectory. According to updated federal figures as of March 2026, Guanajuato registered a 63% decrease in the daily average of intentional homicides in just over a year. The state went from 12.71 daily murders in February 2025 to 4.74 in March 2026, representing a sustained decrease over 13 consecutive months. The information was presented by Marcela Figueroa Franco, head of the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System (SESNSP), during the morning conference at the close of the first quarter of the year. The downward trend in Guanajuato coincides with the national behavior, where the daily average of homicides has also decreased.
