Gabriel Zaid's essay, "Scenarios on the End of the PRI," is currently relevant when reflecting on the political situation in Mexico. The author proposes various scenarios that could lead to the decline of the Institutional Revolutionary Party.
Zaid notes that corruption in Andrés Manuel López Obrador's government has reached scandalous levels, surpassing previous administrations. Despite this, the population seems increasingly less irked by this situation. The author foresees a possible severe division in the ruling party that could lead to its fragmentation.
The poet presents two main scenarios for the end of the PRI: a revolution, which he dismisses due to the lack of protest capacity in Mexico, and an earthquake in Mexico City that symbolically ends the party. He later mentions the possibility of a coup d'état, which, although he initially discounts, he acknowledges as a viable option given insurmountable differences between the government and society.
Zaid proposes the idea that an "ayatollah against corruption" could emerge if it becomes unbearable for the population, which would eventually trigger the disappearance of the ruling party. Although the author acknowledges that the proposed scenarios do not seem convincing, he points out that unforeseen factors could accelerate the process of political change.
In summary, Gabriel Zaid's essay invites reflection on the future of the ruling party in Mexico, proposing different possibilities that could lead to its disappearance. The scenarios proposed by Zaid decades ago, while they may not seem as applicable today, serve to analyze the political situation in the country and the possible implications of corruption and internal division within the political system.
