The management of the relationship between Mexico and the United States, depending on who wins, can have significant consequences for both countries. While some believe that the Trump administration could address issues like migration more directly, others think that with the Democrats, a more professional and detailed approach could be expected on each matter.
Although López Obrador has managed to handle Trump by containing migration flows, the U.S. president's obsession with this issue has become even more radicalized. If Trump secures a second presidency, he could adopt more extreme measures, which would represent a considerable challenge for Mexico.
Both Democrats and Republicans have raised concerns that could impact the bilateral relationship, from the environment to trade and security. The negative perception of Mexico on issues like drug trafficking and migration remains a point of conflict on the bilateral agenda.
In contrast, the Democratic administration addresses a broader range of concerns that could impact Mexico. Even though Trump and Harris have taken firm stances on issues like trade and migration, Trump stands out for his more severe and controversial threats.
The challenge for the Mexican government will lie in how it approaches the relationship with the next U.S. president. Trump's threats and potential actions could complicate the situation, with intertwined issues to his convenience and little predictability in his actions.
The bilateral relationship, defined by issues like migration, drug trafficking, and trade agreements, could face additional challenges depending on who is elected. Both USMCA and other agreements could be affected by the positions taken by the candidates and the uncertainty surrounding the relationship between the two countries.
