This Wednesday, the national leader of Morena, Luisa María Alcalde, held a series of meetings in Nuevo León with the message that state actors must increase the confrontation against Governor Samuel García and, if necessary, form an alliance with the PRI-PAN Front. In state politics, the leader's trip is seen as a reaction from the ruling party to the interview that the governor from MC gave over the weekend on Bloomberg, the world's most influential specialized economic and financial media. Therefore, for the Morena leader, it is crucial that MC does not retain the governorship in 2027. To this is added another long-term detail: Alcalde is also seen as a potential candidate on the 2030 ballot. With this understanding, Alcalde is now promoting that Morena, at the state level, associate with the PRI and PAN to complicate Governor García's annual budget. The leader expects this agreement to be finalized next week and on Wednesday warned that if any local Morena legislator does not sign on to this decision, they will have no place in the intermediate elections. For Andrés Manuel López Obrador, it should be said, it was a win-win: the MC candidate was Jorge Álvarez Maynez, with no chance, and Marcelo Ebrard did not have the orange party as an alternative to his aspirations. However, towards 2030, a date that generates similar calculations and aspirations as the intermediate elections, there is unease within Morena about the growth capacity that García could have, especially when he leaves the governorship and, from a legislative position, dedicates himself to traveling the country. His resilience against various public blows, the good connection with the Morena electorate observed in Nuevo León, and a coherent discourse for urban voters profile the governor as a candidate to be reckoned with. For Luisa María, Morena's growth is imperative not only to conquer the governorship but also to prevent MC from winning. In that conversation, Samuel expressed his intention to run for president in 2030. This definition contributes to the logic of the National Palace that in 2030 the electoral product that MC could generate is riskier than the proposals that emerge from the PAN or other smaller spaces. In Morena, they have the governor well measured. By the way: over the weekend, Claudia Sheinbaum will be in the northern entity. Urgency and decisiveness go hand in hand with another reality already known at the National Palace: the north of the country is where the Morena brand is most resentful due to the scandals of recent months. This is not new: in 2024, from the Federation, maneuvers were made in judicial instances so that Samuel could not leave his substitute in Nuevo León and thus be a presidential candidate. Even if the final result is a victory for the PRI-PAN Front candidate. In Nuevo León, the 4T figure is, for now, in third place, below the options of MC and the PRI-PAN Front. A detail to consider: the MC vote in Nuevo León, unlike in Jalisco, has more connection with the Morena spectrum than with PAN voters.
