The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has reported that the policies implemented by the United States under President Donald Trump will have a negative impact on global economic growth. Global growth is expected to decrease from 3.3% to 3.1% in 2025 and from 3.3% to 3% by the end of 2026.
According to the OECD, a decline in U.S. economic expansion is expected from 2.4% to 2.2% this year, and from 2.1% to 1.6% for the next. Canada will also be affected, with a reduction in its growth rate from 2% to 0.7% in both years.
China will be one of the least affected economies, with projected growth of 4.7% to 4.8% in 2025 and a 4.4% rate expected in 2026, remaining unchanged despite tariff disputes with the U.S.
The OECD has confirmed that Mexico will enter an economic recession in 2025 and 2026 due to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The Mexican economy is expected to shrink by 1.3% in 2025 and remain in negative territory with a decline of 0.6% in 2026, confirming the recessionary process.
The organization warns that if tariffs between Mexico and the United States increase by 25% starting in April, as planned, there will be severe consequences for the Mexican economy, such as more unemployment, a drop in investments, inflation, and potential business bankruptcies.
Through its report "Economic Outlook Provisional", the OECD highlights Mexico as the country most affected by the tariff war promoted by the United States, with negative forecasts in various economic aspects.
Finally, the OECD presents growth projections for different global economies, detailing the expected rates for the coming years.
