Within Morena, there are those who see the Trump crisis as an opportunity and justification for less democracy, as a way to retreat into a victimhood that actually hides the desire to radicalize in sectarianism and flirt with authoritarianism. The President seeks to improve the situation for Mexicans, especially for the most disadvantaged. Trump is a nativist troublemaker, so his actions will hardly benefit Mexico.
Moreover, there is another evident risk. The Mexican government is in a situation of political strength but with economic weakness. Before Trump arrived, the President was already facing problems with the cartels, a depleted treasury, administrative disorder, ambitions in her cabinet, and a shaky economy. If the situation worsens due to the Trump crisis, will Sheinbaum seek to broaden her circle of interlocutors or will she close herself off even more?
Morena's instinct in this scenario will be to blame internal enemies, abandon politics, play the victim, and be indifferent to the cost that the poorest will have to pay. Trump is a propaganda machine with enormous powers, and his victory in November reflects similarities with Morena: great popular support and the determination to fulfill his agenda at any cost.
The change of government in the United States has begun a new game, especially for Mexico. Internally, Morena has employed an overwhelming policy to dismantle opposition and criticism, in addition to now trying to impose an agenda. The Sheinbaum government will face the challenge of dealing with the changes and crises generated by Donald Trump, a media adversary who can expose and attack Morena like never before.
The National Regeneration Movement has presented itself as an almost untouchable force for six years. The foreseeable impact on Sheinbaum's administration will be challenging, as Trump becomes the aggressive alter ego of the president. It will be a complex task to maintain stability and respond effectively to the challenges that arise, especially in a context of constant change and external pressures.
