The loyalty towards Sheinbaum is inertial, similar to the one traditionally paid to the president in Mexico. On the other hand, Muñoz Ledo warned in time about the alliances with organized crime that are not inherited, but must be re-woven, indicating the need for a new mafia arrangement.
Sheinbaum faces a dilemma, as the politicians maintaining alliances with organized crime are from her own party. There is a possibility that Congress may rebel against the president, losing control of her party and leading to discussions about a recall.
If Mexico fails to prevent the imposition of tariffs by Trump, economic problems loom that can rapidly translate into social tensions. The situation is complicated by the growing rejection of Americans living in Mexico, which could activate xenophobia.
Under Trump's pressure to break the political pact with organized crime, Sheinbaum faces the difficult decision of going against members of her own party, which could lead to questions about her loyalty within Morena.
The government is forced to tighten its belt even more, with governors and legislators questioning Sheinbaum's leadership. The possible indictment of governors, mayors, or regional police chiefs from the president's own political movement could mark a break in her relationship with those who put her in the presidential seat and continue her legacy.
In a scenario full of uncertainty, the Mexican economy is threatened while the internal political situation becomes tense. The inability to resolve these issues could trigger protests and roadblocks, plunging the country into a critical situation between two demagogues married to their egos and confronted by international pressure.
