Recent international events, particularly the war between the USA, Israel, and Iran, pose significant risks to Mexico and its president, Claudia Sheinbaum. The conflict in Iran is causing a global shortage of oil and gas, affecting fuel and electricity prices and disrupting supply chains. This, in turn, exacerbates Mexico's problems, including a fertilizer shortage at the start of the agricultural cycle, rising food prices, and inflationary pressures. Domestically, the president faces a threat to governability due to the increasing influence of criminal organizations, leading to violence and disappearances. Social tension is mounting, with protests expected from farmers, transporters, and healthcare workers who see the current moment as an opportunity to mobilize. In this context, the key factor for President Sheinbaum is the quality and capability of candidates from her party and its allies for the upcoming midterm elections. To control the country, winning elections is not enough; candidates loyal to the constitution, the rule of law, and governability are required. Incapable, corrupt, or crime-allied figures who are elected will not be loyal to the president, the party, or the country. In the coming weeks, during the FIFA World Cup 2026 in Mexico City, the world's focus will shift to the country. This moment will determine which Mexico the world sees: one returning to the path of modernity under female leadership, or one descending into protests, violence, and chaos.
