Politics Country November 01, 2024

Claudia Sheinbaum Navigates US Election Dynamics

Following the recognition of the president's victory by the electoral authority, Claudia Sheinbaum faces the challenge of managing relations with Trump and Biden in a delicate political climate. Pressure mounts for allied leaders to quickly recognize a possible victory for Kamala Harris, while relations with the Democrats become complicated.


Claudia Sheinbaum Navigates US Election Dynamics

The electoral authority recognized the victory of the current president, and congratulations began to arrive from Washington and Europe. Claudia Sheinbaum has started to see a tangible destiny, a week ago, a possible return of Trump to the White House, which makes her uncomfortable. She does not want to clash with Trump and understands that it will be necessary to wait, just as Andrés Manuel López Obrador did in 2020, who took long weeks to recognize Biden.

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López Obrador often says in private that he took his time because when he saw the chaos in Washington and the assault on the Capitol, he understood that Trump had a strong social leadership that should not be provoked. A magnate told Sheinbaum days ago that, unlike Biden, for Trump words are everything and matter much more than facts.

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Since this week, a sort of discreet management has begun in various Western foreign ministries with a view to the presidential contest on Tuesday in the United States. And in that logic, a hurried statement can be the worst introduction for the new bilateral relationship. On the other hand, the relationship between Palacio Nacional and the Democrats is going through tough times due to the Zambada affair, which was sought to be reversed from Mexico on Thursday with two significant events: the arrest of a drug dealer in Santa Fe who is wanted by Washington and the confirmation of the president that she will travel to Rio de Janeiro for the G-20 Summit organized by Lula, currently Blinken's main ally in the region.

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The State Department wants allied leaders of Joe Biden not to take too long to recognize a possible victory of Kamala Harris, even if the margin in the Electoral College is small. Democrats understand that if Harris wins, it will be by a small margin, and in parallel, Republicans will stir up, just like in 2020, the fraud slogan and will seek to litigate the election.

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This attitude, according to those close to Anthony Blinken, is an affront to democracy and must be condemned by foreign presidents afterwards. The atmosphere heading into Tuesday in the United States already looks tense. Blinken used it in the last presidential elections in Brazil, where Lula Da Silva, an ally of the White House, defeated the Trumpist Jair Bolsonaro. In the press of that country, small incidents and some arrests begin to be reported near the offices of the electoral authorities in various states. This maneuver that Foggy Bottom is preparing is known in the region. Without too much delay, recognizing Harris.