The Bursamétrica agency has maintained its forecast of a 1.5 percent annual growth in the United Kingdom. In the case of Mexico, they believe that cuts to federal government spending and decreased investment could lead to stagnation or a slight recession this year, due to the uncertainty generated by legislative changes. Despite the economic boom and full employment in the United States, the Mexican economy seems disconnected from this trend.
Regarding Mexico's economic data, with a growth of 0.57 percent for the fourth quarter and a possible annual close above 1.6 percent, an annual growth of 2.5 percent is expected for the U.S. economy. Fiscal policy and growth estimates mark differences between the two countries.
The Federal Reserve of the United States is expected to pause its intention to lower interest rates, which could maintain a rate of around 3 percent annually. For his part, President Trump will push for a structural fiscal deficit and protectionist measures that could generate inflation, turning the United States into a global generator of it.
As for the European Union, modest growth is expected, especially in countries like Germany, while Mexico still fails to achieve substantial growth despite its potential. The Mexican economy is limited by an incomplete economic model and uncertain economic policies, which hamper its development.
In conclusion, the U.S. economy maintains a surprising dynamism compared to Europe, Mexico, and Canada. Growth expectations and economic policies mark significant differences between countries, reflecting distinct economic realities and diverse projections for the near future.
