In these times of the 4T, the government of Claudia Sheinbaum seeks economic justice and a more humane society. However, it faces hostility from Trump, who threatens trade blockades, deportations, and espionage in the Baja California Peninsula. This suggests preparations for unilateral interventions aimed at controlling Mexican cartels.
The world is disoriented by the transition from the globalist illusion of the free market to the vision of making America great at the expense of the rest of the world. In Mexico, this transition marks a divorce from the economic policies initiated during Carlos Salinas's era, which proposed the total integration of the Mexican economy with the American one.
Although López Obrador acknowledges this history, the new relationship imposed by the United States diminishes Mexico's capabilities to overcome its lagging issues. The country faces impositions from its powerful neighbor and its own historical shortcomings that keep it in a vulnerable position in aspects such as food, industrial, energy, and financial dependence.
In the rural sector, Mexico shows a duality: highly efficient and productive areas contrast with the majority of small production units lacking sufficient resources to compete in international markets. Food dependence is high, reflected in the need to import a significant portion of basic food items.
The Mexican industrial plant is dependent on imported technology, as the country has not prioritized the development of science and technology. The export strategy adopted decades ago benefited transnational corporations, while the lack of support for the internal market has hindered the competitiveness of the national industry.
In the energy sector, Mexico has become highly dependent on imports in recent decades. Any interference from the United States in this sector could leave the country with a shortage of electrical energy and halt industrial production. Furthermore, foreign banks play a crucial role in the financial management of the country.
However, Mexico's greatest weakness lies in its internal inequalities, which generate tensions and social violence. The constitutional order and the judicial system have failed to ensure justice for all. In this context, Sheinbaum seeks to guide economic and social development towards integration, but the difficulties of adapting to the neighborhood with the United States amid its conflict with China represent a historical challenge.
